The fuel is filling gradually

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The fuel is filling gradually *.

A Japanese share rose in the acute angle, and showed movement to look for 9000 yen level at a dash at middle of March. Why such pitch did the requake happen?First of all, I want to start this text from the analysis.

I think that the tough going might continue still about the entity economic environment. The impression that the current state exceeded the fundus of gallbladder.
At least, atmosphere Hanai who comes out new "Big negative surprise". However, it is not too easy to bury the gap between supply and demand of a production facility and human equipment, etc.It might unexpectedly take time to eliminating of the gap between supply and demand of all parts of the world the thing of the problem across not only the United States but also the world.

However, a large-scale government finance mobilization is done centering on developed countries to defend such the situation under and the financial institution, etc.In the financial summit done in April, the United States advocates the increasing public spending of 2% in the GDP, and Japan is this tune lingua.
The government fil the supplementary budget bill and the related method idea, aims at early approval on the basis of it now, and the deliberation continues.

However, government finance is a par to pulling out and the transfusion of the action with my blood in the future in a word because of the tax.
It is necessary to return all the bloods later though it becomes energetic once. Even if it is based that tax liability increases, you may still think time-consuming in a real economic recovery.

However, we should firmly understand the meaning of being distributed in the enterprise sector on the other hand through both of the public money a private financial institution and the government financial agency.

This is to be being done the relocation of wealth to the stakeholder of the enterprise including the employee by the taxpayer if it sees macroscopic. It is an equity (share) that the leverage is profit Kuno in the stakeholder and.

It is convincing also to the situation of jumping up at once when it is not sold not to react to news that the share is bad now easily, and comes out if it thinks so the Yoi news. Evidence that eye full fuel is filled to the share as for it. A present amount of stocks is a very logical phenomenon in such a meaning. The destination was a share from middle of March though the price of the thing was decided according to where money flowed. Hereafter, this trend might continue.
The reason for the phobia to the low investment choice of the flowability like the real estate etc. is that it is persistent still.

In such a meaning, you may say that the basement will already have escaped. When this period of tens of years is taken, the market capitalization harmony of the listed enterprise is not under 50 percent of the GDP in Japan and the United States either. The stock price always rebounds there when going. It is not mysterious that there are some correlations in the market capitalization of the listed enterprise that is the main engine that gives birth to the GDP and the value added that is the sum total of the value added in a free capital principle economic country.

About 7500 yen falls to the half in the Nikkei average if it sees in the GDP until last year. It might be Iu, and be about 7300-7250 yen at the present level. And, it repulsed it there in great force though the fundus of gallbladder cracked once last October. After this year, it did not rush into 6000 yen level. It is a current state that the fuel was gradually filled while the phenomenon in which rebounding half of the GDP is affirmed many times.

- The initiator that exceeds 10,000 yen is *.

Then, how does the stock price change because of here?The cleavage will not think about 8000 yen easily though the prediction in the future is difficult. In addition, some rationales are enumerated in addition to the reason ahead of fuel being filled to the entire stock market.

First of all, the first is to stabilize about the political situation. The retrusion lingua of the possibility of the change of power with which it is discussed even ahead fairly a little as long as the current state is seen. It was not said that either democratic was Yoi, and the Liberal-Democratic Party made unsteadiness Sao caused by the change of power, and was thwarting the stock market. The share thinks, "Risk", and dislikes one that doesn't understand.

Furthermore, yen advanced up to 1 dollar =87 yen is declining to about 100 yen now for a certain period of time. The strong yen gives the export company adverse effects, and depreciation in yen is and there is a conviction named Yoi in the word association game of a present stock market though whether depreciation in yen is desirable for the Japanese economy is never so that it. It will become the underpinning of the stock price very much.

Furthermore, the final total profit at the period on March, 2009 of the listed enterprise is boosted because of the revision of tax system of which the substance free of tax is the dividend from the foreign subsidiary. This is a strong move, and the forehead and Toyota Motor are 90 billion yen and Iu in 600 billion yen and SONY.
The profit available for dividend of the global business in Japan increases very much by this countermeasure. If the large company doesn't become energetic, the country named Japan doesn't revive still. If the fuel is not sequentially put from the large company, the structure that doesn't turn below though small- and medium-sized enterprises are important.

Additionally, it agrees on the gift tax reduction of taxes from which Mr./Ms. Motoshige Ito of University of Tokyo is advocated in government party Tax system Research Council, and it is deliberated in the Diet.
As for these elements, all pluses will work for the stock market.

How much do concrete targets become?It becomes the prospect as the refund of the half from 7500 yen of the half of last year's GDP, that is, 75% around from 10,500 to 11,250 yen. The current state has seeing where the one that 8000 yen centered obviously goes up to 9000 yen axle though it is not easy to think the Gngn going up in addition because the achievement feeling goes out indeed once if 10,000 yen is exceeded. Isn't it Ikuno advance Shite little by little who might be returned 8000 yen near if it approaches 10,000 yen by the average, goes, and came though Rio is repeated?

It is necessary to affirm not dropping off of an economic bottom for the axle to go up there to 10,000 yen further, and to exceed 10,000 yen by a center value. I wonder whether it is still a political situation that becomes a initiator though concrete time is not understood. It is sure to contribute greatly for the stock price if a new refreshing shape political power can be done.
The timing of the undeletion is * that acts rashly.

I want ..Dow-Jones average in which it has a big influence.. to discuss the undeletion of American economy with the Japanese economy in the end furthermore.
It is still time-consuming in the undeletion of the real economy as the major premise as well as Japan. However, the figure that obviously shows the degree of consumption shows the amelioration. The American cannot endure "Money is not spent" if it says to half the joke.

Furthermore, Obama neatly does what should be done though there are a lot of criticisms. The enterprise redress was done by making a similar tela to RTC (Resolution Trust Corporation) that established it 20 years ago, and using a large amount of public money as well as Japan. Money paid to AIG for instance flows to Goldman Sachs by the average, and the stock price of Goldman Pimpins it.
In a word, the fuel is filled more than Japan as for an American share now.

The United States that saves the reserve for education of the child with the share household operates 401k(defined contribution pension plan) unlike Japan where financial assets of individuals doesn't hurt very much even if the stock price falls, and is influenced directly when the stock price falls. The government tries to be also desperate and to raise the stock price.

Timing to which the world economy revives will become very much. Four another years and we thought even ahead a little.
It is because oneself is thwarted as described either ahead if the Democratic Party political power that is the big government pulls out my blood in the future and the blood transfusion is done. However, when the present United States is seen, alternatively at one term, and might I think Obama to be start of Compromaiz of various policies (compromise) for the election of the reelection if entering the latter half of the 1st term of the political power even if serving at two terms.

They gradually become energetic because one side and there is money of the redress though the large company is bullied now.
Whenever doing so, the revenge will be started. It is Republican Party so to speak power. No do be known of "Big government straight line too" these as many as four years if it thinks so either. One and another a half years will become one prospects because half a year has already passed for two years after a new political power starts if what should be done is done, and it changes to the independence route afterwards.

To begin with, will this crisis be "Condominium once every 100 years" that the green span really described?
Japan is time of Russo-Japanese War 100 years ago. Then, it cannot help calling staying up now compared with the hardship that our ancestor traced a complete, normal course. Something is actually destroyed, and the person also dies in case of the war. However, money increased, the bubble occurred, and it returned to the origin this time. In addition, there are a large-scale government intervention and an international cooperation compared with the great depression before, too, now if it says.

This crisis exists at most only due to the event of "Once ten year" if it says frankly. The failure of the savings & loan association (savings and loan association) happened in the United States in 1988, and the bad-loan problem exploded in Japan the ten years later. This crisis occurred the ten years later.

You bet it is, and there is a point that should make a special mention only to this crisis, too. The speed that the shock extends to the world was too fast because of the progress of globalization. However, "Once every 100 years" might be exaggeration to it. The country somewhere is sure to be danced and to be going to collapse to the bubble again similarly in ten years.

Should not we think it begins to the recovery trend very ..a certain stock price.. ..definition.. from a strategic standpoint by making it at any rate however by all means ..that.. than the excess ..pessimism.. running now?


http://zasshi.news.yahoo.co.jp/article?a=20090511-00000001-voice-pol

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